Serie C Playoffs Ascenso Last 16
Global 1-1
Catania vs Atalanta U23 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.1%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
14.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.3%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.8%
16.1%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2024 |
ATA
0 - 1
CAT
29%
28%
44%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
CAT
1 - 0
BEN
28%
29%
44%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
SOR
3 - 2
CAT
23%
27%
50%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
CAT
1 - 0
MES
59%
24%
17%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
FRA
1 - 0
CAT
21%
25%
54%
|
62 | 49 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Atalanta U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2024 |
ATA
0 - 1
CAT
29%
28%
44%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
ATA
1 - 1
LEG
40%
26%
34%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2024 |
ATA
3 - 1
TRE
39%
27%
34%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | +2 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
UAR
1 - 1
ATA
43%
28%
29%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
ATA
3 - 0
PRO
41%
26%
33%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | +2 |