Catania vs AC Monza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.8%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.2%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.5%
15.8%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 1952 |
CAT
0 - 0
BRE
49%
24%
27%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1952 |
ACM
2 - 0
CAT
54%
22%
24%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1952 |
ATP
1 - 0
CAT
61%
20%
19%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 1952 |
CAT
1 - 1
MOD
61%
21%
18%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1952 |
SAL
0 - 1
CAT
56%
22%
22%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
AC Monza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 1952 |
ASS
1 - 0
LIV
55%
22%
23%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1952 |
SAL
2 - 0
ASS
62%
20%
18%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1952 |
ASS
1 - 0
VIC
54%
23%
24%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1952 |
BRE
3 - 1
ASS
65%
20%
15%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1952 |
REG
0 - 0
ASS
58%
21%
21%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |