CD Castuera U19 vs Mérida AD U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.3%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12.9%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.4%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.6%
35.2%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+123%
+144%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Castuera U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2022 |
CSU
1 - 1
COR
84%
11%
6%
|
15 | 7 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2021 |
BAD
2 - 4
CSU
28%
22%
50%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2021 |
CSU
2 - 2
JER
77%
14%
10%
|
15 | 11 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2021 |
EFE
0 - 1
CSU
27%
21%
52%
|
15 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2021 |
CAC
1 - 2
CSU
39%
23%
39%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Mérida AD U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 2022 |
MER
6 - 1
UPP
42%
22%
36%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2021 |
COR
2 - 3
MER
18%
19%
63%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
MER
6 - 0
BAD
48%
22%
30%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | +2 |
| 08 Dec. 2021 |
MER
0 - 4
EXT
49%
22%
29%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | -2 |
| 04 Dec. 2021 |
JER
2 - 1
MER
17%
18%
65%
|
15 | 9 | 6 | -1 |