Castro B vs Juventud Atlético San Roman analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79.8%
Win probability
2.92
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.8%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.2%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.4%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.3%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.3%
12.6%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
12.6%
7.6%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
-44%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castro B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2025 |
SAN
2 - 3
CAS
32%
22%
46%
|
15 | 13 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2025 |
CAS
0 - 5
NUE
23%
21%
56%
|
16 | 21 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2025 |
MNT
0 - 6
CAS
52%
21%
28%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | +2 |
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
CAS
1 - 2
MER
33%
23%
44%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
AFR
7 - 1
CAS
64%
18%
17%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Juventud Atlético San Roman
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2025 |
SRO
1 - 8
CAS
9%
14%
77%
|
7 | 22 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2025 |
MDC
3 - 0
SRO
78%
13%
9%
|
7 | 15 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2025 |
SRO
1 - 4
LIE
6%
14%
80%
|
7 | 24 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2025 |
SJU
1 - 1
SRO
42%
22%
37%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2025 |
SRO
1 - 2
VEL
7%
14%
79%
|
7 | 18 | 11 | 0 |