Castro B vs Fortuna Camargo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.5%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.7%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.3%
21.2%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
+133%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castro B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2022 |
AFR
1 - 0
CAS
25%
22%
53%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2022 |
CAS
3 - 1
ESP
38%
22%
41%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2022 |
SAM
2 - 1
CAS
83%
11%
6%
|
11 | 17 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2022 |
JDM
0 - 1
CAS
64%
18%
18%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 2021 |
CAS
1 - 1
LIE
45%
21%
34%
|
10 | 10 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Fortuna Camargo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2022 |
FOC
0 - 5
RGA
23%
22%
55%
|
10 | 16 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2022 |
VEL
0 - 0
FOC
45%
22%
33%
|
10 | 10 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2022 |
FOC
2 - 1
RIO
48%
21%
32%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | +1 |
| 09 Jan. 2022 |
FOC
1 - 4
CAL
27%
22%
51%
|
10 | 14 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Dec. 2021 |
SJU
2 - 2
FOC
36%
24%
40%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | 0 |