Castro B vs Guarnizo B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.6%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.1%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.9%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.3%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
50.8%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
15.3%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
8.4%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castro B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
RIO
2 - 5
CAS
40%
22%
37%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
CAS
2 - 1
MER
23%
21%
56%
|
11 | 16 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
VEL
4 - 1
CAS
46%
22%
32%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
CAS
2 - 2
FOC
34%
22%
45%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
ESP
2 - 3
CAS
33%
21%
46%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Guarnizo B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
GNZ
3 - 3
LIE
49%
21%
30%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
JDM
1 - 0
GNZ
59%
20%
22%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
GNZ
1 - 1
SRO
83%
11%
6%
|
19 | 9 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
GNZ
5 - 1
RIO
73%
15%
12%
|
19 | 12 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
MER
1 - 1
GNZ
27%
22%
51%
|
19 | 14 | 5 | 0 |