Castro B vs AD Cubas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.6%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.8%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
19.2%
20.3%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castro B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2022 |
NMB
2 - 0
CAS
44%
23%
34%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
CAS
9 - 0
SJU
53%
20%
26%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
CAS
0 - 0
RGA
11%
16%
73%
|
10 | 18 | 8 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
VEL
1 - 1
CAS
32%
23%
45%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2022 |
CAS
2 - 1
RIO
58%
19%
23%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
AD Cubas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2022 |
ADC
0 - 5
RGA
9%
17%
75%
|
7 | 18 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
VEL
6 - 1
ADC
40%
22%
39%
|
7 | 8 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
ADC
0 - 3
RIO
42%
22%
36%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
CAL
5 - 0
ADC
75%
15%
10%
|
7 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
ADC
0 - 1
FOC
31%
23%
46%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | 0 |