Castro Daire vs Vila Cortez analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
85.6%
Win probability
2.94
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.8%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.5%
5-0
5.7%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.3%
4-0
9.7%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.1%
3-0
13.2%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.2%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.4%
10.2%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
4.9%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
10.2%
4.2%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castro Daire
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2021 |
VAL
1 - 0
CAS
30%
24%
46%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2021 |
CAS
1 - 1
SAN
34%
24%
43%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2021 |
CAS
2 - 1
CAN
32%
24%
43%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 Jan. 2021 |
CAS
2 - 0
LUS
69%
18%
14%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 2020 |
LUS
2 - 0
CAS
74%
17%
10%
|
34 | 44 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Vila Cortez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2021 |
VCO
1 - 3
LUS
14%
19%
67%
|
13 | 28 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2021 |
BMA
3 - 0
VCO
91%
7%
2%
|
13 | 46 | 33 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2021 |
VCO
0 - 3
SAO
8%
15%
77%
|
14 | 37 | 23 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2021 |
VCO
0 - 6
ANA
7%
14%
78%
|
16 | 46 | 30 | -2 |
| 24 Jan. 2021 |
VCO
0 - 1
SAN
9%
16%
75%
|
16 | 40 | 24 | 0 |