Castriz vs SD Agolada analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.6%
Win probability
2.76
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.4%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.5%
4-0
7%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.6%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
17%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.4%
13.4%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.4%
7.9%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
+72%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castriz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
UDC
1 - 1
CAS
47%
21%
33%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
CAS
2 - 1
PRA
72%
16%
12%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
DUM
4 - 0
CAS
14%
17%
69%
|
22 | 15 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
CAS
6 - 1
POR
63%
19%
18%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
CRM
1 - 4
CAS
24%
20%
57%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
SD Agolada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
AGO
0 - 0
VIS
15%
18%
67%
|
13 | 19 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
CAL
5 - 0
AGO
60%
18%
22%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
AGO
1 - 2
EST
62%
20%
19%
|
15 | 12 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 May. 2024 |
CRU
1 - 3
AGO
12%
18%
70%
|
15 | 7 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
AGO
5 - 0
SLV
52%
22%
26%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | +1 |