Castricum vs Swift analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
10.7%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.3%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
3.1%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.7%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.4%
71.9%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
12.6%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.4%
0-3
9.6%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.4%
0-4
5.4%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7.6%
0-5
2.5%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.3%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castricum
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
BRE
9 - 0
CAS
85%
11%
5%
|
11 | 36 | 25 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2013 |
CAS
2 - 2
DEV
14%
20%
66%
|
10 | 21 | 11 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
MAR
7 - 1
CAS
87%
9%
4%
|
10 | 21 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
CAS
1 - 1
CSW
10%
17%
73%
|
9 | 28 | 19 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
EEM
3 - 1
CAS
84%
12%
5%
|
9 | 23 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Swift
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
SWI
2 - 1
MAR
63%
19%
18%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2013 |
EEM
1 - 0
SWI
33%
24%
43%
|
29 | 23 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
SWI
1 - 1
CSW
54%
22%
24%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
DEV
1 - 1
SWI
28%
23%
49%
|
29 | 22 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
SWI
1 - 1
SDV
37%
24%
39%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | 0 |