Castrelo de Miño vs Toen FS analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.8%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.2%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
11%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.8%
63.4%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.3%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
19.1%
0-3
7%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.8%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.8%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castrelo de Miño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
CMI
2 - 5
CEN
27%
22%
52%
|
8 | 12 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
OUT
5 - 1
CMI
80%
13%
8%
|
9 | 16 | 7 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
CMI
2 - 0
CHA
42%
22%
36%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | +2 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
RAZ
4 - 0
CMI
41%
22%
37%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
CMI
0 - 1
MOR
24%
21%
56%
|
7 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Toen FS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
CEN
0 - 2
TOE
41%
23%
37%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
TOE
0 - 2
OUT
50%
22%
28%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | -2 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
CHA
1 - 4
TOE
17%
19%
63%
|
16 | 7 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
TOE
4 - 2
RAZ
80%
13%
7%
|
16 | 7 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
MOR
0 - 1
TOE
33%
22%
44%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | 0 |