Castrelo CF vs Outes B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.5%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
5%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
5%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.9%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.9%
37.6%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castrelo CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
VOL
3 - 2
CAS
60%
19%
22%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2017 |
CAS
2 - 3
AME
17%
18%
65%
|
7 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
NAN
4 - 2
CAS
68%
17%
15%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
CAS
1 - 4
CAB
17%
19%
64%
|
7 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
POR
6 - 0
CAS
58%
19%
23%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Outes B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
OUT
1 - 6
MUR
27%
22%
51%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
SEA
5 - 2
OUT
44%
22%
34%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
OUT
1 - 3
CAM
32%
22%
47%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
CAS
4 - 0
OUT
50%
21%
29%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
OUT
0 - 6
LAX
39%
21%
40%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 |