Castrelo CF vs Outes B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.2%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.4%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
32.5%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castrelo CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
CAS
2 - 3
AME
27%
21%
52%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
LIR
1 - 0
CAS
49%
21%
31%
|
8 | 7 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
VOL
1 - 0
CAS
58%
19%
23%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
CAS
0 - 0
MUX
14%
17%
69%
|
9 | 14 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
SEA
1 - 2
CAS
44%
23%
34%
|
7 | 8 | 1 | +2 |
Matches
Outes B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
OUT
3 - 3
SEA
47%
22%
30%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
AME
4 - 1
OUT
56%
20%
25%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | -2 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
NAN
0 - 0
OUT
63%
19%
19%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
OUT
1 - 1
LIR
44%
22%
34%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
OUT
3 - 1
CAM
44%
22%
35%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | +2 |