Castillo C.F. vs Liceo C.D.C. Alanis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.6%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
11.1%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
7%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.7%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.2%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
3.4%
4-4
0.9%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.5%
41.9%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
5.1%
3-4
1.8%
4-5
0.4%
5-6
0.1%
-1
18.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
2.7%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
12.4%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castillo C.F.
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
GUA
6 - 0
CAS
64%
17%
19%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2017 |
SAN
7 - 0
CAS
35%
21%
44%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | -3 |
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
CAS
3 - 1
CON
51%
21%
29%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
CDA
3 - 1
CAS
80%
12%
8%
|
9 | 15 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
CAS
5 - 3
ALC
36%
22%
42%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | +2 |
Matches
Liceo C.D.C. Alanis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
LIC
1 - 0
CON
51%
24%
26%
|
9 | 8 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2017 |
CDA
2 - 0
LIC
73%
16%
11%
|
10 | 14 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
LIC
1 - 0
ALC
46%
24%
30%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
CAN
0 - 3
LIC
48%
22%
30%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | +2 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
LIC
3 - 4
AZN
19%
22%
59%
|
7 | 12 | 5 | 0 |