Castillo C.F. vs Guillena Cf analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.5%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
2.6%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.6%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
13.2%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.7%
56.9%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
9%
2-3
5%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
2.9%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
16.8%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
4%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
10.4%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
5.2%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castillo C.F.
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2017 |
CAL
6 - 0
CAS
77%
14%
9%
|
9 | 14 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2016 |
CAS
2 - 1
CDD
51%
20%
29%
|
8 | 7 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
UBB
5 - 2
CAS
66%
18%
16%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2016 |
CAS
3 - 2
PRI
47%
21%
32%
|
8 | 9 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
PIN
4 - 4
CAS
69%
17%
15%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Guillena Cf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
GUI
2 - 2
CON
72%
17%
11%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
CDA
3 - 3
GUI
37%
24%
39%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
GUI
1 - 1
ALC
62%
21%
18%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
CAN
0 - 1
GUI
33%
23%
44%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
GUI
2 - 0
AZN
51%
23%
27%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | +1 |