Castillo Locubín vs Mancha Real AD analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.6%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.4%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.2%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.1%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.7%
17.6%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castillo Locubín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2009 |
CDH
2 - 4
CLO
46%
22%
32%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2009 |
CLO
2 - 2
LAG
38%
25%
37%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
CLO
0 - 4
CDV
50%
22%
28%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
VIL
2 - 2
CLO
43%
24%
32%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2009 |
CLO
0 - 3
CAR
21%
23%
56%
|
16 | 24 | 8 | -2 |
Matches
Mancha Real AD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2009 |
ADM
2 - 0
VIL
28%
24%
48%
|
11 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2009 |
CAR
0 - 2
ADM
82%
13%
6%
|
9 | 25 | 16 | +2 |
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
ADM
0 - 1
VIL
11%
17%
72%
|
9 | 24 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
CPH
1 - 0
ADM
71%
18%
11%
|
9 | 16 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2009 |
ADM
2 - 3
RAC
15%
21%
65%
|
9 | 20 | 11 | 0 |