Castillo CF vs CD Ingenio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
85.2%
Win probability
3.14
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.7%
6-0
3%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4%
5-0
5.7%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.9%
4-0
9%
5-1
3.8%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.5%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.9%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
7%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.3%
9.9%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
4.7%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
9.9%
4.8%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.7%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-49%
+179%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castillo CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2021 |
CAS
1 - 1
ARG
82%
12%
7%
|
25 | 17 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2020 |
MAS
1 - 2
CAS
16%
19%
65%
|
24 | 16 | 8 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 2020 |
UDB
3 - 0
CAS
14%
18%
69%
|
26 | 16 | 10 | -2 |
| 12 Dec. 2020 |
CAS
1 - 3
BLP
72%
15%
12%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2020 |
TER
4 - 0
CAS
21%
20%
58%
|
29 | 21 | 8 | -2 |
Matches
CD Ingenio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
ING
1 - 1
BLP
15%
18%
68%
|
14 | 24 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2021 |
MAS
3 - 0
ING
52%
22%
26%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | -2 |
| 23 Dec. 2020 |
ING
2 - 1
VAL
77%
14%
10%
|
15 | 10 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 2020 |
ING
5 - 0
AGA
25%
21%
55%
|
13 | 17 | 4 | +2 |
| 11 Dec. 2020 |
UDB
1 - 0
ING
63%
19%
18%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | 0 |