Castilleja vs Utrera B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.3%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
24.1%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castilleja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
FER
0 - 0
CAS
47%
23%
30%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
CAS
1 - 1
UDT
37%
24%
39%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
CDR
1 - 0
CAS
37%
24%
38%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
CAS
3 - 1
VIL
45%
24%
31%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
LAP
2 - 0
CAS
66%
19%
15%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Utrera B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
UDT
2 - 0
UTR
67%
17%
16%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
UTR
3 - 1
VIL
41%
25%
35%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
LEB
6 - 0
UTR
37%
25%
38%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
UTR
2 - 2
BAR
48%
24%
28%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2023 |
UTR
1 - 1
VEN
46%
24%
31%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |