Castilleja vs Atco. Villanueva analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.4%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.4%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.4%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
50.8%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15.5%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.1%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+46%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castilleja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
RUD
0 - 0
CAS
64%
22%
15%
|
13 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
EST
3 - 1
CAS
37%
25%
38%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
CAS
1 - 0
LAV
44%
24%
32%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
ROC
1 - 0
CAS
74%
16%
9%
|
14 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
CAS
3 - 0
OSU
67%
18%
15%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Atco. Villanueva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
ATC
4 - 1
EST
69%
18%
13%
|
19 | 13 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
LAV
3 - 3
ATC
32%
23%
44%
|
19 | 14 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2013 |
ATC
1 - 0
ROC
40%
24%
36%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
OSU
2 - 3
ATC
14%
20%
67%
|
18 | 10 | 8 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
ATC
0 - 3
ESP
73%
17%
11%
|
20 | 12 | 8 | -2 |