Castilblanco vs Liceo C.D.C. Alanis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.6%
Win probability
2.74
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.4%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.4%
4-0
7%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.6%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
17%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.4%
13.5%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.5%
7.9%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castilblanco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
CAS
0 - 3
CAZ
34%
24%
43%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
CAM
5 - 1
CAS
58%
20%
22%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
CAS
1 - 0
CAR
79%
13%
8%
|
16 | 9 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
GUA
1 - 1
CAS
20%
20%
60%
|
16 | 8 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2011 |
CAS
3 - 0
CON
52%
22%
26%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | +2 |
Matches
Liceo C.D.C. Alanis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
LIC
0 - 2
CAM
7%
14%
79%
|
7 | 20 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
CAR
5 - 3
LIC
48%
23%
29%
|
8 | 9 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
LIC
3 - 3
GUA
36%
22%
43%
|
8 | 9 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
ALC
2 - 1
LIC
47%
23%
31%
|
9 | 8 | 1 | -1 |