Castilblanco A vs Zoriteño A analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.3%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
22%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
27.6%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castilblanco A
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
CAS
1 - 5
PUL
11%
17%
72%
|
9 | 18 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
FMO
3 - 0
CAS
75%
15%
10%
|
9 | 15 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
CAS
1 - 3
VAL
12%
18%
70%
|
10 | 19 | 9 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
PGA
3 - 4
CAS
44%
22%
34%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
CAS
0 - 1
SBA
44%
23%
33%
|
10 | 10 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Zoriteño A
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
ZOR
0 - 4
MON
29%
23%
49%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
PUL
4 - 1
ZOR
83%
11%
6%
|
9 | 17 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
ZOR
0 - 3
ZUR
12%
17%
71%
|
10 | 18 | 8 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
FMO
4 - 2
ZOR
79%
13%
8%
|
10 | 17 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
ZOR
0 - 2
ELA
22%
21%
57%
|
11 | 16 | 5 | -1 |