Castilblanco A vs UD Plus Ultra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
6.5%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.8%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.2%
1-0
2.4%
2-1
2%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
5%
13.4%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
13.4%
80.1%
Win probability
2.62
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
13.5%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
22.4%
0-3
11.7%
1-4
4.8%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
17.3%
0-4
7.7%
1-5
2.5%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
10.5%
0-5
4%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.1%
-5
5.2%
0-6
1.8%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0%
-6
2.2%
0-7
0.7%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.8%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castilblanco A
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
PUE
3 - 1
CAS
44%
22%
34%
|
8 | 7 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
SIR
6 - 1
CAS
81%
12%
7%
|
9 | 15 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
CAS
1 - 1
CAS
54%
21%
26%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
CAB
0 - 0
CAS
69%
17%
14%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
CAS
1 - 0
VAL
35%
22%
43%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | +2 |
Matches
UD Plus Ultra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
PUL
3 - 0
OCD
70%
16%
13%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
LOG
0 - 2
PUL
18%
19%
63%
|
20 | 13 | 7 | +1 |
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
PUL
2 - 1
FMO
62%
19%
19%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
PUE
0 - 3
PUL
7%
14%
80%
|
21 | 7 | 14 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
PUL
1 - 0
SIR
73%
15%
12%
|
20 | 15 | 5 | +1 |