Castilblanco A vs Siruela analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12.1%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.9%
1-0
3.1%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.3%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.7%
71.2%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.2%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
7.8%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.6%
0-3
8.5%
1-4
4.8%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
14.5%
0-4
5.2%
1-5
2.4%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
8%
0-5
2.6%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.7%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castilblanco A
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
CAS
1 - 0
CAS
48%
22%
31%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
CAS
0 - 2
CAB
19%
21%
60%
|
7 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
VAL
1 - 1
CAS
54%
21%
26%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
CAS
0 - 2
ELA
10%
17%
73%
|
7 | 18 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
PGA
3 - 1
CAS
57%
20%
23%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Siruela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
SIR
3 - 2
OCD
42%
22%
36%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
FMO
2 - 0
SIR
56%
20%
24%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
SIR
3 - 2
PUL
24%
21%
56%
|
14 | 21 | 7 | +2 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
PUE
1 - 2
SIR
14%
18%
68%
|
14 | 7 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
LOG
1 - 1
SIR
40%
22%
38%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | -1 |