Castellterçol vs Aiguafreda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.3%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.1%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.8%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.2%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
51.1%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
15.4%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
8.5%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.8%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+334%
+284%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castellterçol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
CAS
2 - 2
RIU
29%
22%
50%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
VIL
3 - 1
CAS
82%
11%
7%
|
7 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
CAS
1 - 3
CEN
44%
21%
35%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
SEB
3 - 0
CAS
44%
22%
34%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | -2 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
CAS
3 - 2
SMB
52%
21%
27%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Aiguafreda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
AIG
2 - 5
VIL
44%
22%
35%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
CEN
0 - 1
AIG
28%
21%
51%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
AIG
4 - 0
SEB
67%
17%
16%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
SMB
0 - 7
AIG
31%
22%
47%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
AIG
4 - 2
SJV
27%
21%
52%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | +1 |