Castellfollit A A vs Joanetes A A analysis


11	ELO	10
0.2%	Tilt	0.8%
36316º	General ELO ranking	36309º
9440º	Country ELO ranking	9433º
ELO win probability

51%

Castellfollit A A

21.2%

Draw

27.9%

Joanetes A A

Possible results

Probability of each exact result

Probability of handicap

51%
Win probability

                        
                    
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
6%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.3%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%

21.2%

Draw

0-0

2.8%

1-1

8.7%

2-2

6.8%

3-3

2.3%

4-4

0.5%

5-5

0.1%

0

21.2%

27.9%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%