Castellese vs Pradalunghese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.2%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.5%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.9%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
36.3%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castellese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
ACC
0 - 3
CAS
35%
24%
42%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
CAS
5 - 1
TOR
83%
12%
6%
|
28 | 13 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
SPE
2 - 1
CAS
46%
23%
31%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
ZOG
1 - 1
CAS
32%
23%
45%
|
29 | 23 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
CAS
2 - 0
CAL
61%
20%
19%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Pradalunghese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
PRA
1 - 0
BAR
65%
19%
16%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
CAL
2 - 2
PRA
45%
23%
32%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
PRA
4 - 4
FOR
79%
14%
7%
|
34 | 17 | 17 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
ACC
0 - 0
PRA
29%
23%
48%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
PRA
4 - 0
TOR
84%
11%
5%
|
34 | 11 | 23 | 0 |