Castellar vs Júpiter analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.1%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
29.7%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+55%
+39%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castellar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
IGU
1 - 2
CUE
47%
23%
31%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
CUE
2 - 1
BBL
41%
24%
35%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
ART
3 - 1
CUE
55%
22%
24%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
CUE
4 - 0
TAR
65%
19%
16%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
SMA
2 - 0
CUE
49%
22%
29%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Júpiter
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
JUP
1 - 0
ASE
51%
23%
25%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
ALG
0 - 1
JUP
20%
22%
59%
|
18 | 12 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
JUP
0 - 0
TPE
58%
22%
20%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
SAN
0 - 1
JUP
43%
23%
34%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
JUP
1 - 0
PIR
59%
21%
20%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | +1 |