Castellar vs Calaf analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.6%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.8%
25.6%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+49%
+163%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castellar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
CFR
1 - 0
CUE
41%
25%
34%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
CUE
1 - 1
CVA
50%
22%
29%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
JOA
1 - 1
CUE
53%
22%
25%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
CUE
1 - 6
BER
47%
23%
30%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | -2 |
| 19 Feb. 2022 |
NTE
3 - 2
CUE
30%
23%
47%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Calaf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
CAL
2 - 2
BER
18%
21%
62%
|
8 | 14 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
NTE
2 - 2
CAL
64%
18%
18%
|
7 | 12 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2022 |
CAL
1 - 2
TTR
33%
21%
46%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2022 |
SAL
3 - 0
CAL
34%
23%
43%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | -2 |
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
CAL
1 - 1
SAB
9%
16%
75%
|
9 | 20 | 11 | 0 |