Castelfidardo Calcio vs Sambenedettese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
8.9%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.9%
1-0
2.7%
2-1
2.7%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.4%
14.7%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.7%
76.4%
Win probability
2.59
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.5%
0-2
11.6%
1-3
7.8%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.6%
0-3
10%
1-4
5%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
16.2%
0-4
6.5%
1-5
2.6%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
9.6%
0-5
3.4%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
4.7%
0-6
1.5%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.9%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.7%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+127%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castelfidardo Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
SAN
3 - 2
CAS
73%
16%
11%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
CAS
1 - 1
REC
33%
25%
42%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2016 |
JES
1 - 0
CAS
64%
19%
16%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
FVE
2 - 0
CAS
61%
20%
19%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
CAS
1 - 0
AMI
43%
24%
33%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Sambenedettese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
SSS
2 - 1
CAM
77%
16%
8%
|
47 | 34 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
AVE
1 - 2
SSS
20%
21%
59%
|
46 | 31 | 15 | +1 |
| 06 Jan. 2016 |
SSS
1 - 1
FER
79%
14%
7%
|
46 | 31 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
SSS
3 - 1
SAN
72%
17%
11%
|
46 | 35 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
CHI
1 - 2
SSS
20%
23%
57%
|
46 | 36 | 10 | 0 |