Castelfidardo Calcio vs Matelica Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.1%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.9%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
57.7%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.7%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.7%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castelfidardo Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
CAM
0 - 0
CAS
70%
18%
12%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
CAS
1 - 0
MON
32%
24%
44%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
CAS
1 - 1
FER
26%
24%
51%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
OLY
3 - 1
CAS
53%
22%
25%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
CAS
1 - 1
CHI
33%
25%
42%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Matelica Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
MAT
3 - 0
CHI
63%
20%
17%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
AVE
3 - 1
MAT
28%
23%
50%
|
40 | 28 | 12 | -2 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
MAT
1 - 3
SSS
31%
24%
45%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | -2 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
SAN
0 - 1
MAT
41%
23%
36%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
MAT
1 - 0
REC
67%
18%
14%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | 0 |