Castelfidardo Calcio vs Jesina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.2%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.6%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.3%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
39.2%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castelfidardo Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
ROM
1 - 1
CAS
46%
24%
30%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
CAS
2 - 2
PIN
32%
24%
44%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
VIS
4 - 2
CAS
55%
22%
23%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
CAS
1 - 0
CAM
25%
24%
51%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2016 |
CAS
1 - 1
REC
36%
25%
39%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Jesina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2016 |
JES
3 - 2
CIV
30%
25%
45%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
SAM
0 - 1
JES
67%
18%
15%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
JES
0 - 0
OLY
31%
25%
44%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
ROM
3 - 0
JES
41%
26%
33%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | -2 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
JES
2 - 0
PIN
28%
22%
50%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | +3 |