Castelfidardo Calcio vs Vastese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.7%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.7%
1-0
7%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.5%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
45%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.6%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castelfidardo Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2021 |
REC
1 - 1
CAS
75%
15%
10%
|
28 | 40 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2021 |
CAS
1 - 0
SEL
58%
21%
22%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2020 |
CAS
1 - 1
UST
23%
22%
55%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2020 |
MAT
1 - 3
CAS
75%
15%
10%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | +2 |
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
CAS
1 - 0
CAS
15%
18%
67%
|
23 | 36 | 13 | +2 |
Matches
Vastese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2021 |
ASD
0 - 1
CAS
40%
22%
38%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2021 |
ASD
2 - 2
CAM
26%
26%
48%
|
34 | 45 | 11 | +1 |
| 23 Dec. 2020 |
MAT
3 - 0
ASD
38%
22%
40%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | -2 |
| 20 Dec. 2020 |
ASD
2 - 4
MON
58%
21%
21%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2020 |
APR
3 - 3
ASD
32%
24%
44%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | 0 |