Castelfidardo Calcio vs Vastese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.2%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.5%
1-0
6%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.6%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
56%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.2%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.1%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.8%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castelfidardo Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
CAM
3 - 3
CAS
68%
20%
12%
|
21 | 31 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
CAS
0 - 1
PIN
12%
19%
70%
|
22 | 40 | 18 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
SAV
4 - 1
CAS
73%
16%
10%
|
22 | 31 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
CAS
3 - 2
ISE
31%
25%
45%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2019 |
REC
3 - 0
CAS
83%
12%
5%
|
22 | 38 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Vastese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
ASD
1 - 2
CES
9%
21%
69%
|
30 | 66 | 36 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
GIU
1 - 2
ASD
39%
25%
36%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
ASD
2 - 0
SAN
33%
25%
42%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | +2 |
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
MON
0 - 1
ASD
62%
19%
19%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
CAM
3 - 0
ASD
52%
24%
24%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | -1 |