Castel Rigone vs Sorrento analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.4%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.2%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.9%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
60.2%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
11.3%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.6%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.1%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castel Rigone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
VIG
2 - 1
CAS
53%
25%
22%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
CAS
1 - 2
TER
29%
25%
46%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
APR
3 - 1
CAS
59%
22%
19%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
CAS
1 - 6
USF
27%
25%
48%
|
30 | 40 | 10 | -2 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
GAV
2 - 1
CAS
42%
25%
33%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Sorrento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
SOR
3 - 1
ASM
62%
22%
16%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
MES
1 - 0
SOR
42%
26%
32%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
SOR
2 - 0
TUT
64%
21%
15%
|
43 | 35 | 8 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
MAR
3 - 1
SOR
24%
25%
51%
|
45 | 33 | 12 | -2 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
SOR
1 - 0
USF
55%
23%
22%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | 0 |