Castanet vs Toulouse II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.4%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
3%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.7%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
55.7%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
17%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.4%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-38%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castanet
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
BAL
1 - 1
CAS
55%
23%
22%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
CAS
0 - 3
MON
20%
20%
60%
|
27 | 40 | 13 | -2 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
MAR
2 - 0
CAS
55%
21%
24%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
CAS
1 - 0
LIM
31%
23%
46%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | +2 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
AUR
1 - 0
CAS
62%
20%
18%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Toulouse II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
TOU
2 - 0
ANG
50%
23%
27%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
NIO
2 - 3
TOU
52%
22%
26%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
TOU
2 - 0
BLA
54%
24%
22%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
TOU
2 - 1
VIL
59%
21%
20%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
BAL
1 - 2
TOU
33%
28%
39%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | 0 |