Castanet vs Paulhan/Pézenas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.4%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.4%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.1%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
51.4%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15.6%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.4%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paulhan/Pézenas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
PAU
1 - 2
GRE
23%
25%
53%
|
36 | 57 | 21 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
ROD
0 - 0
PAU
33%
25%
42%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | -1 |