Castanet vs Blagnac analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.4%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.4%
2-0
10%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
17.2%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
48
1º
4º
3º
51
1º
8º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
55 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
51 | 51 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
48 | 48 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 42 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
41 | 41 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 35 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
34 | 34 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 33 |
9º
|
78% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
10º
|
78% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
29 | 29 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
19 | 19 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
10 | 10 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castanet
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
FCP
0 - 2
CAS
36%
24%
40%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
CAS
2 - 0
LES
44%
27%
30%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | +2 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
LEG
1 - 2
CAS
31%
24%
45%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
CAS
3 - 1
GDB
63%
20%
17%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
COL
2 - 0
CAS
37%
25%
39%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Blagnac
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
FCA
0 - 4
BLA
47%
23%
31%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2023 |
BLA
1 - 1
FCP
44%
25%
31%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
LES
1 - 0
BLA
58%
22%
20%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
BLA
1 - 0
LEG
50%
24%
26%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
GDB
0 - 1
BLA
41%
25%
33%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | 0 |