Castanese vs Turbighese 1921 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
82.9%
Win probability
2.81
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.9%
5-0
4.8%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.3%
4-0
8.6%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.9%
3-0
12.3%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.3%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
11.7%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
11.7%
5.4%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.2%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castanese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
PAS
2 - 2
CAS
18%
21%
61%
|
33 | 19 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
CAS
2 - 1
SOL
76%
15%
9%
|
33 | 20 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
QUI
0 - 5
CAS
20%
21%
59%
|
31 | 19 | 12 | +2 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
CAS
1 - 0
NOV
83%
12%
6%
|
30 | 15 | 15 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
VAN
2 - 0
CAS
27%
23%
50%
|
31 | 23 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Turbighese 1921
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
TUR
3 - 1
CAS
15%
19%
66%
|
12 | 21 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
BON
2 - 0
TUR
81%
13%
6%
|
12 | 24 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
TUR
2 - 2
BOL
12%
18%
70%
|
11 | 24 | 13 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
ARC
3 - 0
TUR
75%
16%
10%
|
12 | 17 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
SED
1 - 0
TUR
83%
12%
6%
|
11 | 24 | 13 | +1 |