Castanese vs Pregnanese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.9%
Win probability
2.65
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.9%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.9%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.4%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
14.3%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.3%
8.7%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castanese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
FOO
1 - 1
CAS
26%
22%
51%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
SED
1 - 2
CAS
27%
22%
51%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
CAS
5 - 2
CAS
72%
16%
12%
|
33 | 22 | 11 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
BON
1 - 4
CAS
27%
23%
51%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
CAS
1 - 1
BOL
71%
17%
12%
|
33 | 22 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Pregnanese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
PRE
1 - 0
CAS
34%
23%
44%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
BON
3 - 1
PRE
56%
21%
23%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
PRE
2 - 1
BOL
40%
23%
37%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
ARC
3 - 1
PRE
29%
23%
48%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
PRE
1 - 0
TUR
76%
15%
9%
|
20 | 13 | 7 | 0 |