Cassis-Carnoux vs Marignane Gignac II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
83.1%
Win probability
2.68
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.6%
5-0
4.7%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.9%
4-0
8.8%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.5%
3-0
13.2%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.4%
2-0
14.8%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
11%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
12%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
12%
4.9%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.9%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
4º
11º
11º
16
12º
14º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
57 | 63 |
1º
|
97.5% | |
|
14º
|
0 | 45 |
2º
|
53% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 44 |
3º
|
50% | |
|
3º
|
36 | 39 |
4º
|
33% | |
|
|
4º
|
34 | 38 |
5º
|
29.5% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 37 |
6º
|
17.5% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 37 |
7º
|
20% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 35 |
8º
|
29.5% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 33 |
9º
|
28% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 30 |
10º
|
36% | |
|
|
10º
|
25 | 30 |
11º
|
29% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 28 |
12º
|
52% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 25 |
13º
|
69.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
16 | 19 |
14º
|
96.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
23.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
76.5% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cassis-Carnoux
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
IST
2 - 0
CAS
15%
21%
64%
|
49 | 33 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
CAS
1 - 0
MAR
74%
16%
10%
|
49 | 36 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
NIC
3 - 4
CAS
31%
24%
45%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
CAS
1 - 1
SCR
71%
17%
12%
|
48 | 38 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
CAN
2 - 2
CAS
35%
26%
39%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Marignane Gignac II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
MAR
3 - 0
MAR
77%
14%
10%
|
26 | 38 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
MAR
1 - 1
SCR
17%
18%
65%
|
25 | 39 | 14 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
MAR
3 - 0
EUA
47%
22%
32%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
GAZ
3 - 2
MAR
85%
10%
5%
|
24 | 46 | 22 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
MAR
1 - 3
BAL
34%
22%
44%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | -1 |