Casserres vs Vilada analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
87.7%
Win probability
3.38
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.8%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1%
7-0
1.8%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.3%
6-0
3.7%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
5%
5-0
6.6%
6-1
2.4%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
9.4%
4-0
9.7%
5-1
4.2%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14.8%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.3%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
6%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.5%
8.4%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
3.9%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
8.4%
3.8%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
2.9%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+39%
-31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Casserres
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2025 |
CAS
4 - 0
CAL
81%
12%
7%
|
20 | 12 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2025 |
AVI
1 - 2
CAS
33%
22%
45%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
CAS
2 - 4
SSC
47%
22%
31%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
SFS
1 - 1
CAS
39%
21%
41%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
CLL
0 - 6
CAS
10%
14%
76%
|
20 | 7 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Vilada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2025 |
VIL
1 - 1
GIR
15%
17%
68%
|
7 | 17 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2025 |
CAL
8 - 1
VIL
60%
19%
21%
|
8 | 11 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
VIL
2 - 2
BER
31%
22%
48%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
AVI
1 - 0
VIL
82%
11%
7%
|
8 | 17 | 9 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
CCR
2 - 1
VIL
84%
10%
6%
|
8 | 16 | 8 | 0 |