Casserres vs Vilada analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.9%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
9%
1-0
4%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
16%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.1%
48%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
4.9%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
14.4%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
8%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+60%
-49%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Casserres
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
AVI
4 - 0
CAS
72%
15%
13%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
CAS
3 - 1
SUR
38%
22%
41%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | +2 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
CAS
1 - 2
MON
31%
23%
47%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
PUI
0 - 0
CAS
69%
16%
15%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
CAS
0 - 3
PUI
42%
22%
36%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | -2 |
Matches
Vilada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
VIL
4 - 0
MON
30%
22%
49%
|
7 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
PUI
5 - 1
VIL
55%
19%
26%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | -2 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
VIL
5 - 3
PUI
41%
21%
38%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | +2 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
VTO
5 - 2
VIL
44%
21%
36%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
VIL
3 - 9
SAL
26%
21%
53%
|
7 | 12 | 5 | 0 |