Casserres vs Sant Llorenç Morunys analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
86.4%
Win probability
3.35
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.9%
7-0
1.6%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.2%
6-0
3.4%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.7%
5-0
6.1%
6-1
2.4%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.9%
4-0
9%
5-1
4.3%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14.3%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16%
9%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
4.1%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
9%
4.5%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.4%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+39%
+768%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Casserres
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2025 |
PUI
1 - 1
CAS
40%
21%
39%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2025 |
MON
0 - 2
CAS
21%
20%
59%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2025 |
MON
1 - 4
CAS
14%
16%
70%
|
21 | 11 | 10 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2025 |
CAS
6 - 2
VIL
88%
8%
4%
|
21 | 8 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2025 |
CAS
4 - 0
CAL
81%
12%
7%
|
20 | 12 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Sant Llorenç Morunys
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2025 |
SLM
1 - 3
CAL
50%
20%
30%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2025 |
AVI
1 - 1
SLM
79%
13%
9%
|
10 | 18 | 8 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2025 |
SLM
2 - 3
SSC
13%
17%
70%
|
11 | 22 | 11 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2025 |
SFS
2 - 2
SLM
77%
13%
10%
|
10 | 19 | 9 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2025 |
SLM
4 - 1
CLL
52%
19%
29%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | +1 |