4ª Catalana Promotion Play-offs Semi-finals
Global 2-4
Casserres vs Puigcerda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.8%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
0.1%
+3
8.3%
2-0
4%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
5.5%
4-3
2%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
0.1%
+1
19%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
3.4%
4-4
0.9%
5-5
0.2%
6-6
<0%
0
19.9%
32.3%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.6%
4-5
0.4%
5-6
0.1%
-1
15.6%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Casserres
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2025 |
PUI
0 - 1
CAS
50%
20%
30%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2025 |
CAS
9 - 1
CLL
89%
7%
3%
|
24 | 7 | 17 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2025 |
NAV
1 - 1
CAS
51%
20%
29%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2025 |
CAS
3 - 1
OLV
91%
7%
2%
|
23 | 7 | 16 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2025 |
GIR
1 - 1
CAS
16%
19%
65%
|
23 | 17 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Puigcerda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2025 |
PUI
0 - 1
CAS
50%
20%
30%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2025 |
PUI
3 - 0
GIR
83%
11%
6%
|
24 | 15 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2025 |
BER
2 - 4
PUI
13%
15%
72%
|
22 | 15 | 7 | +2 |
| 04 May. 2025 |
PUI
4 - 0
CCR
54%
19%
27%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2025 |
SLM
0 - 6
PUI
9%
12%
79%
|
21 | 11 | 10 | 0 |