Casserres vs Puigcerda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.9%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
5%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
6%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
5.3%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.6%
21.5%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+45%
+409%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Casserres
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
PAL
3 - 4
CAS
52%
20%
28%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
CAS
8 - 1
MON
78%
14%
9%
|
14 | 7 | 7 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
BAL
3 - 6
CAS
12%
15%
72%
|
14 | 7 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
CAS
2 - 1
GIR
32%
22%
46%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
OLV
0 - 4
CAS
28%
22%
50%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Puigcerda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
PUI
0 - 2
CLL
58%
18%
23%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
AVI
4 - 1
PUI
60%
18%
21%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
PUI
4 - 3
SSC
39%
22%
39%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
PAL
1 - 2
PUI
63%
17%
20%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
PUI
6 - 0
MON
77%
13%
10%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | 0 |