Casserres vs Puigcerda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.6%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.1%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.7%
32.7%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+60%
+194%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Casserres
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
PUI
0 - 1
CAS
35%
22%
43%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
CAS
2 - 1
VTO
54%
21%
25%
|
9 | 8 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
SAL
6 - 0
CAS
38%
22%
40%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | -2 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
CAS
0 - 1
CAL
41%
22%
37%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
MON
1 - 3
CAS
28%
21%
51%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Puigcerda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
PUI
1 - 1
MON
41%
22%
37%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
SUR
4 - 3
PUI
41%
22%
37%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
PUI
2 - 1
PUI
21%
20%
59%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
PUI
7 - 0
VTO
66%
18%
16%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
SAL
2 - 1
PUI
29%
22%
49%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | -1 |