Casserres vs Navarcles analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.1%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.6%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
31.6%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+45%
+137%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Casserres
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
PUI
2 - 1
CAS
70%
17%
13%
|
7 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2014 |
MON
3 - 1
CAS
47%
22%
30%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
CAS
2 - 3
BER
18%
20%
62%
|
7 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
VTO
3 - 1
CAS
60%
20%
20%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
CAS
1 - 2
SSC
30%
22%
48%
|
8 | 11 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Navarcles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2014 |
NAV
0 - 2
SAL
47%
22%
31%
|
8 | 9 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2014 |
AVI
5 - 1
NAV
48%
22%
30%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | -2 |
| 22 Nov. 2014 |
NAV
3 - 0
NAV
55%
21%
25%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
PUI
0 - 1
NAV
60%
20%
20%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | +2 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
PUI
6 - 4
NAV
49%
22%
29%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | -2 |