Casserres vs Callus B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.4%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
5%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.9%
21.7%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+45%
-91%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Casserres
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
AVI
0 - 0
CAS
60%
19%
21%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
CAS
2 - 2
SSC
57%
20%
23%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
CAS
5 - 2
PUI
60%
19%
22%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
PAL
3 - 4
CAS
52%
20%
28%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | +1 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
CAS
8 - 1
MON
78%
14%
9%
|
14 | 7 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Callus B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
CLL
3 - 3
AVI
20%
19%
61%
|
14 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
CLL
2 - 2
SSC
45%
21%
34%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
PUI
0 - 2
CLL
58%
18%
23%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
CLL
1 - 4
PAL
54%
20%
26%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
MON
1 - 4
CLL
16%
17%
67%
|
15 | 7 | 8 | 0 |