Casserres vs Callus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.4%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.4%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
32.4%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+45%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Casserres
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
SUR
0 - 5
CAS
18%
18%
64%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
GIR
3 - 1
CAS
63%
19%
18%
|
13 | 17 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2022 |
PUI
1 - 4
CAS
51%
21%
29%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
CAS
3 - 5
AVI
28%
23%
50%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2022 |
AVI
2 - 0
CAS
37%
23%
40%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Callus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2022 |
CAL
2 - 4
AVI
35%
22%
44%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2022 |
SAL
1 - 3
CAL
47%
22%
32%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | +2 |
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
CAL
2 - 2
SAN
21%
18%
61%
|
12 | 17 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2022 |
AVI
6 - 1
CAL
46%
22%
32%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | -2 |
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
CAL
4 - 2
CAR
74%
14%
12%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | +1 |