Casserres vs Callus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.5%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.1%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.6%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
14.4%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
8%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.3%
53.2%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
5%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
2.8%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
15.8%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
9.4%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Casserres
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
MIN
2 - 3
CAS
46%
21%
33%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2017 |
MON
1 - 1
CAS
45%
22%
34%
|
7 | 8 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
CAS
1 - 3
SLM
34%
21%
46%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
CAL
4 - 3
CAS
62%
19%
19%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
CAS
2 - 2
GIR
50%
22%
28%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Callus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
CAL
1 - 1
MON
67%
16%
17%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
CAL
1 - 0
PUI
34%
21%
45%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
CAL
0 - 1
BER
55%
20%
26%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
NAV
4 - 3
CAL
57%
19%
24%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
CAL
2 - 3
ART
54%
20%
26%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | -1 |